theknightswhosay

Week 6 Top 25 and Commentary

In College Football on October 11, 2011 at 5:47 PM

In keeping with the consensus of computer ratings systems, Alabama is #1 on my ratings site. The numbers right now indicate that Arkansas and Penn St. are better than Oregon and West Virginia and also that Vanderbilt is better than Mississippi St. Alabama also has more credit because Alabama is one of two teams (Michigan is the other) with 6 wins against FBS opponents. Although Alabama does have Georgia Southern on the schedule, that game will not take place until November 19.

I’m keeping LSU #1 here on my blog, however, for four reasons. (1) LSU was #1 before I began using the computer system and has not given any cause for concern since, (2) LSU has already played its game against an FCS opponent, so this is one reasons the numbers haven’t caught up yet, (3) I believe that as we progress into the season, Penn St. and Vanderbilt will count less as opponents than West Virginia and Oregon, and (4) LSU itself rates higher as an opponent because its average FBS opponent is better than Alabama’s.

As to the third point, I didn’t mention SEC West opponents Mississippi St. and Arkansas. I think it just so happens (like with the FCS opponent) that LSU happens to have played the easier of the two at this point. LSU will not play Vanderbilt. But keeping with the discussion of the SEC schedule, LSU faces Tennessee next week while Alabama faces Ole Miss. Tennessee has a winning record and Ole Miss has a losing record, so I expect that this will help LSU.

It’s also important not to overlook opponents’ opponents. Arkansas beating Auburn was a big key in Alabama moving into #1. Georgia beating Tennessee helped out Boise St., who passed up Oklahoma also because Florida St. and Missouri (two of Okla.’s opponents) lost. Clemson slipped partly because of losses by Florida St. and Auburn. UCLA’s win over Washington St. (don’t laugh, WSU has three wins) helped to keep Texas from falling too far and also helped Houston to move up.

Hopefully that gave enough background. Here are the ratings:

Full 120

Top 25:
rank / team / prior
1 LSU 1
2 Alabama 4
3 Michigan 2
4 Boise St. 8
5 Oklahoma 7
6 Clemson 3
7 Illinois 5
8 Ga. Tech 9
9 Okie St. 13
10 Texas 6
11 S Carolina 11
12 Wisconsin 10
13 Houston 19
14 Kansas St. 14
15 Nebraska 12
16 N.Carolina 16
17 Arkansas —
18 Stanford 15
19 Penn St. —
20 Arizona St. —
21 Va. Tech 18
22 Rutgers —
23 Notre Dame —
24 W Virginia 21
25 Baylor —

Out of rankings: (17) Auburn, (20) Washington, (22) S. Florida, (23) Texas Tech, (24) USC, (25) Florida


Prior rankings:

Week 5
Week 4
Week 3
Week 2
Week 1
Preseason

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