theknightswhosay

Week 13 Top 25, Week 15 projections

In Rankings on November 28, 2010 at 4:03 PM

This has been by far my best day in terms of views since starting my blog here, so thanks for checking in.

Some have over-reacted to some of the top teams here, so I decided to do projections. I did the first round after Friday and I mentioned those results in my LSU-Arkansas post-game blog.

I have an initial rating that I give teams in order to know how much to add and subtract for beating or losing to each team. I just put down the teams with the higher initial rating as winning, and this goes through the Army-Navy game. It’s unofficial, but I went with Oklahoma as the Big XII South champion.

But I’ll start with my regular weekly top 25:

rank team prev.
1 Auburn 1
2 TCU 2
3 Oregon 5
4 Ohio St. 6
5 Oklahoma 9
6 Mich. St. 8
7 Arkansas 12
8 Missouri 10
9 Stanford 11
10 LSU 3
11 Boise St. 4
12 Wisconsin 13
13 Okie St. 7
14 Nebraska 15
15 Texas A&M 16
16 Nevada 17
17 Utah 18
18 Alabama 14
19 S.Carolina 19
20 Florida St. 22
21 Va. Tech 21
22 WVU —
23 N. Illinois —
24 Hawaii 24
25 Miss St. —

Out of top 25: (20) NC State, (23) Iowa, (25) Arizona

Projected Week 15 top 25:

rank team rating
1 Auburn 1.445698
2 Oregon 1.050011
3 Oklahoma 1.047831
4 TCU 0.995997
5 Ohio St. 0.926746
6 Michigan St. 0.901264
7 Arkansas 0.803752
8 Stanford 0.796891
9 Missouri 0.792826
10 Boise St. 0.791180
11 LSU 0.789461
12 Wisconsin 0.743004
13 Oklahoma St. 0.728350
14 Nevada (Reno) 0.692340
15 Texas A&M 0.619918
16 Nebraska 0.553502
17 Florida St. 0.547841
18 Utah 0.541665
19 Alabama 0.519432
20 South Carolina 0.391950
21 Northern Illinois 0.307730
22 Tulsa 0.296789
23 West Virginia 0.294471
24 Hawaii 0.226755
25 Mississippi St. 0.191245

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